Syria’s Return to Pre-War Order Now Impossible, Regional Powers Reshape Future

Kokcha News Agency – The Middle East is witnessing an irreversible shift in its political and territorial landscape, particularly in nations such as Syria, Libya, Iraq, and Sudan, where civil wars and foreign interventions have fundamentally altered national structures.

According to a geopolitical analysis, Syria stands as a key example where a return to its pre-2011 state is deemed impossible.

Foreign powers including the United States, Russia, Iran, and Israel have entrenched themselves through military bases, proxy forces, and covert operations.

Notably, Israeli control over the Golan Heights remains firm, and Druze factions in the region have begun aligning with Israeli interests.

The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), supported by the U.S., continue to hold sway in the country’s northeast, while Russia’s influence remains strong through its air and naval bases. Though Iran reportedly reduced its presence following incidents in late 2023, Tehran maintains strategic influence via proxy networks.

The rise of a potential new Syrian leader, Ahmet Erşar, is reportedly under consideration by global powers, indicating moves toward a new governance model.

Meanwhile, Turkey has emerged as a central strategic player in the region. Seen as both a “game player and designer,” Ankara works in cooperation with other rational actors to reshape the region’s political architecture.

Elsewhere, Libya remains in disarray with competing governments, Sudan is divided and embroiled in ethnic conflict, and Iraq still struggles with the long-term effects of foreign invasions and ISIS insurgency.

The overall assessment indicates that countries impacted by civil war in the Middle East are unlikely to return to their former states, reinforcing a fragmented and multi-polar regional order.