Guardian Reports Signs of Near Ceasefire in Gaza as Political and Military Conditions Align

Kokche News Agency states that according to The Guardian, the question today is no longer if a ceasefire will happen, but when. Political and military developments have created favorable conditions for a new ceasefire agreement.

Notably, Israel’s prior approval of a deal and US President Donald Trump’s recent statement that Hamas might accept an agreement within 24 hours are key factors. The anticipated official announcement could follow Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s third visit to Washington since Trump took office.

This would be the third ceasefire since the conflict began, following a brief truce in November 2023 and another under Israeli pressure in February, which later collapsed.

However, analysts believe the upcoming ceasefire might be more sustainable this time due to changing circumstances.

A major factor is the recent short conflict between Israel and Iran, which ended with US intervention and weakened Tehran and its regional allies, including Hamas.

This shift has diminished Iran’s ability to escalate hostilities, potentially creating a more stable environment for peace talks. Meanwhile, Netanyahu’s political position has been bolstered by the perceived “victory” over Iran, which could help him secure a path to victory in upcoming elections if a ceasefire and hostage deals are achieved.

Public support for a ceasefire within Israel has grown, especially amid rising casualties — 20 soldiers have been killed in Gaza in June alone. This shift offers Netanyahu a strategic window, especially during parliamentary recess, reducing pressure from opposition and judicial threats.

Burke concludes that multiple factors, including weakened Hamas, Netanyahu’s political goals, and international pressure led by the US, suggest the moment is ripe for a ceasefire. Yet, he warns that serious negotiations on Gaza’s future are essential for lasting peace, and that remains unresolved.